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    AI demand, talent shortages, and grid constraints: why Benelux and Nordic ICT teams are choosing CEE

    Surging salaries, scarce talent, and growing AI demand are slowing IT expansion in Benelux and the Nordics. CEE offers a way around.

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    When talent runs out or becomes too pricey, the work has to move. Europe's most digitally advanced economies are beginning to hit that wall.

    The Benelux and Nordic countries belong to the wealthiest and most technologically advanced markets in the world, consistently ranking among the top European economies by GDP per capita. With highly digitized economies, manageable population sizes, and world-class infrastructure, the region has long served as the continent's innovation hub: the Netherlands as a top-four European data center hub, Sweden as the birthplace of Spotify and Skype, and Denmark as one of the EU's most digitized societies.

    Yet a growing shortage of ICT professionals is starting to disrupt that picture, and the early warning signals are blazing. The Netherlands and Belgium now rank among the EU countries with the highest job vacancy rates, at 4.1% and 3.8% respectively – roughly double the EU average – with employers in both markets reporting above-average difficulty filling technical and ICT roles specifically. The remaining countries in the region face their own version of the same pressure: demand for ICT professionals has outpaced supply for over a decade, and the AI shift is widening the gap, replacing generalist roles with highly specialized positions that barely existed five years ago.

    Across the region, salaries have surged in response, making the cost of building and retaining local engineering teams increasingly difficult to justify. Across the Benelux and the Nordics, ICT strategy is now being shaped less by ambition than by the availability of the right talent.

    Central and Eastern Europe has an answer. 

    AI demand outpacing talent supply

    Across European tech, AI/ML hiring is up 88% year over year, and the skills required for AI-exposed roles are evolving roughly two-thirds faster than for other positions. At this speed, a hire made two years ago may already be misaligned with the role's current needs.

    The Nordics and Benelux markets feel this pressure acutely, especially as they comprise countries with modest populations and large digital ambitions. Sweden alone is projected to face a shortfall of around 18,000 tech professionals annually through 2028, with AI, software development, and cybersecurity at the center of that gap. Meanwhile, the demand for AI-related competencies specifically rose more than 300% between 2016 and 2024, showing how quickly job requirements are shifting. In Denmark, a European leader in corporate AI adoption, the primary reason companies haven't moved faster is a straightforward lack of people with the right AI skills. Across the Nordics, talent shortages consistently rank as the leading obstacle to AI progress.

    The Benelux region is responding institutionally. Luxembourg's AI Strategy 2030 targets an AI-ready workforce as a core pillar, but in a country with a population half the size of Prague's, achieving that ambition will depend heavily on attracting talent from abroad. Belgium and the Netherlands have their own frameworks, and both acknowledge the same bottleneck: too few AI professionals and a workforce that needs reskilling faster than current systems can manage.

    Some of that difficulty is structural. Europe's ICT specialist workforce grew 62% between 2014 and today, nearly 6 times the boost in total employment. Yet demand has continued to outpace supply. Universities produce graduates with strong theoretical grounding, while employers need people who can deploy AI models and architect cloud infrastructure from day one. The issue also feeds on itself: without enough experienced practitioners in the market, training the next generation becomes harder, not easier. 

    How does CEE help?

    Years of STEM investment, established outsourcing infrastructure, and strong programming traditions have made Central and Eastern Europe a reliable source of AI and ML expertise. Poland, Bulgaria, and Ukraine in particular offer large tech talent pools with strong academic foundations and hands-on experience, while employer costs remain considerably lower than in Benelux and Nordic markets.

    With up to 650,000 IT professionals and 20,000 new ICT graduates annually, Poland offers a rare scale in Europe’s constrained tech market. Consistently ranking among the EU countries with the lowest ICT hiring difficulty, it has drawn global engineering hubs by Google, Microsoft, Samsung, and many others, positioning itself as a natural talent pool for Benelux and Nordic organizations seeking AI expertise.

    Insider CEE market update: Poland


    The Polish IT market remains generally stable, but hiring has become more selective.

    Manual testers are seeing renewed demand compared to previous periods. Hourly-rate contract roles, especially at mid-level, are growing as companies prioritize flexibility, cost optimization, and project-based teams over long-term commitments. 

    Demand for IT experts mirrors global trends: AI/ML, Data, Cloud, DevOps, and Cybersecurity roles (driven by regulatory pressure and rising cyber threats) are on the rise. Python, JavaScript/TypeScript, and Go are gaining importance, especially for scalable systems.
    Poland has also introduced noteworthy regulatory updates. Pay transparency is now mandatory, so employers must disclose specific salary ranges (including bonuses and benefits) early in the recruitment process. They can no longer ask candidates about their previous compensation to support fairer negotiations.

    The specialist talent squeeze

    In 2026, tech hiring is tightening around depth, not breadth. Demand is shifting from generalists to narrowly skilled roles, like MLOps engineers, cloud security architects, AI governance specialists, and advanced data engineers. The “full-stack developer who does a bit of everything” is becoming less central in many enterprise hiring plans. As work becomes more complex, so does the skill set required to do it.

    Economic caution is also reinforcing this shift across the Benelux and Nordic markets. Employers are hiring more selectively, prioritizing fewer roles but expecting deeper expertise. The Nordic pressure is particular: the region's software revenues have grown to more than double domestic consumption, with communications giants and a dense layer of industrial software companies driving demand for engineering talent that the local market can't produce at pace. Executives across Scandinavia have pointed to an urgent need to attract tech talent from other markets as the pipeline is increasingly strained.

    The problem is scale: the available pool of highly specialized professionals is small, and in low-population countries like Luxembourg, it’s near-critical. Aging populations are part of the story. Europe's wealthiest economies are watching their qualified working-age talent deplete rather than replenish.

    Retraining is the obvious prescription. But most enterprises don’t have years to wait. For roles like IoT edge computing architect or on-premises banking AI optimization engineer, credentials are almost beside the point. These positions require proven experience that can't be fast-tracked. Relocating foreign talent is another lever, but the process is slow and uncertain, and it rarely delivers within the windows companies need.

    How does CEE help?

    Central and Eastern Europe offers direct access to senior, deployment-experienced talent in the disciplines hardest to fill in Western Europe, without the cost and risk of building from scratch.

    Bulgaria makes the case plainly. It has concentrated genuine depth in exactly the niches under most pressure: cybersecurity, fintech engineering, enterprise software, AI, and data. Total monthly employer costs for senior cybersecurity engineers and expert QA specialists typically range from €6,200 to €7,300, while ML/AI engineers with 5+ years of experience reach €7,900 to €9,000; figures that reflect the scarcity value of these specialized roles, but at materially lower rates than Western Europe for the same level of seniority.

    The ecosystem’s maturity shows in the companies already operating there at scale. Dow Jones has operated a Sofia engineering hub since 2006, SAP runs one of its largest R&D and engineering centers in the Bulgarian capital, alongside VMWare, which maintains a substantial software engineering hub in Bulgaria supporting virtualization, cloud infrastructure, and cybersecurity.

    Insider CEE market update: Bulgaria


    We don’t expect any significant changes in tech salaries in the Bulgarian tech market in 2026.

    The only outlier: .NET engineers. Demand has risen, and salary ranges are following suit.

    Starting this year, employers must legally disclose specific salary ranges at the job advertisement or recruitment stage.

    This applies not only to base salary but also to bonuses, allowances, and benefits, aiming to increase transparency and reduce pay discrimination.

    The salary spiral

    While in CEE tech salaries held steady over the past year, in Western Europe the pressure remains sharp, driven by supply that cannot meet demand.

    Luxembourg – already home to the EU's highest average national salary at €83,000 – has ICT roles well above that, with chronic specialist shortages that 65–75% of large firms report as an ongoing constraint. Sweden saw compensation for senior ICT specialists jump 16.9% between 2023 and 2024, then rise another 5.5% the following year. Consequently, tech hiring there fell to just 17% in 2025, the lowest in Europe, not because demand cooled, but because organizations are quietly conceding they can no longer win the salary war.

    Across European tech broadly, median salaries have held steady at 5% for two consecutive years, further straining an already punishing cost base. AI is tightening the screw further: roles with any AI adjacency now command premiums of 3–17% over standard compensation, and that ceiling keeps rising.

    For mid-sized firms, the arithmetic is becoming impossible. Chasing local talent means overpaying for whoever's left. The alternative: accessing deep, senior expertise at a fraction of the cost, doesn't require compromise. It requires knowing where to look.

    How does CEE help?

    As hiring in the Benelux and Nordics becomes more competitive and costly, CEE offers employers access to a mature, highly skilled workforce with strong engineering expertise, extensive international project experience, and a proven ability to operate in distributed teams.

    The cost differential is not marginal. A senior software engineer in Ukraine costs €4,300–5,800 per month, all-inclusive, with salary, taxes, and all benefits combined. A senior data engineer runs €4,900–6,900; an IT architect with five or more years of experience, €6,300–7,900. Set those figures against Sweden’s median base salary of €7,940 for a senior software engineer, Norway’s senior data engineers at €10,900 in base pay alone, or Belgium’s senior architects at €7,750–11,580, all before the 20–25% employer add-ons that follow.

    Crucially, Ukraine isn't a market of available juniors. Of the 310,000–315,000 IT specialists active there in 2024, 82% held mid-level, senior, or lead roles, and approximately 43% had more than 6 years of experience. Despite the war, the sector generated $6.45 billion in export revenue in 2024, and Microsoft, Ericsson, Siemens, and Oracle all continue to run R&D operations there.

    The geopolitical risk is real and deserves honest treatment. In practice, most Ukrainian tech firms have expanded operations into Poland and other EU hubs, preserving their cost structure while building continuity into the model. For organizations that can structure the arrangement carefully (or seek professional support), the model holds. The continued presence of Fortune 500 R&D operations is a meaningful data point.

    Insider CEE market update: Ukraine


    We've noticed a surge in hiring in the Ukrainian tech industry, especially in high-demand roles.

    Salaries in Ukraine's IT sector remain stable. The market is shifting toward optimization, with clients increasingly seeking versatile professionals who can cover multiple roles.

    Hiring is accelerating: the second half of 2025 saw 41,000 job openings – an 11% increase over the first half. Miltech roles offering reservation benefits are seeing particularly strong growth, with over 700 openings in December.
    Roles that remain in the highest demand are ML/AI specialists, Data Engineers, Data Scientists, SREs, DevOps, and Cloud Engineers. Embedded and Hardware engineers are also surging, driven primarily by the miltech sector.

    The Netherland's grid problem

    The Netherlands is running into a constraint that no amount of hiring budget can fix: it's running out of electricity.

    The country's push for renewable energy, combined with explosive data center demand driven by AI and cloud growth, has overwhelmed the national grid. Amsterdam's city council has blocked new data center building permits until at least 2030. Since January 2024, a national decree has banned new hyperscale data centers outright, with only narrow exceptions. International demand for Dutch data center capacity has already begun migrating to other European locations, and the total number of active data centers in the country is now lower than in 2019.

    The economic stakes are not small. The data center and cloud industry already accounts for 20% of all Dutch foreign direct investment. ING has warned that if the grid constraint goes uncorrected, the Netherlands risks losing the technical expertise and economic weight that has accumulated around its data capacity, an industry that creates thousands of jobs, in a branch the country is actively sawing through. For organizations weighing nearshoring decisions, this adds a structural urgency that salary comparisons alone don't capture. 

    How does CEE help?

    What the Netherlands currently can't offer: grid headroom, land, renewable energy access, room to build, CEE has in scores. Cities like Warsaw and Łódź have attracted growing hyperscale investment precisely because they can provide what Amsterdam cannot, within the same EU regulatory framework, under the same data flow rules, at near-identical time zones.

    For Dutch organizations developing, maintaining, or scaling AI, ML, or cloud workloads, CEE teams offer a compliant, low-latency extension that requires no additional Dutch grid capacity. The infrastructure and talent are there. And unlike Amsterdam's permit queue, neither has a waiting list.

    The takeaway for the Benelux and Nordics markets

    The pressures bearing down on Benelux and Nordic ICT markets are real, structural, and not going away on their own. AI is reshaping job requirements faster than any hiring cycle can absorb. Generalist roles are giving way to deep specialists that the local talent market simply can't produce at scale. Salaries have risen to a level where building and retaining engineering teams locally is a serious financial decision. And in the Netherlands, the challenge has moved beyond people entirely: physical infrastructure constraints are forcing a rethink of where digital operations can actually run.

    These pressures converge on the same conclusion: a more distributed model of ICT talent and infrastructure, one in which work moves toward the people qualified to do it. Central and Eastern Europe meets each of these challenges with substance. The region combines deep AI and specialist expertise, proven delivery capability, EU regulatory alignment, and salary structures that make long-term investment sustainable.

    The question is no longer whether to look east. It’s how quickly, and into which markets.

    IT Salary Guide_2026_Mockup_2_BG

     

    CEE IT Salaries Guide 2026

     

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    FAQ

     

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